PredictIt AI Analysis

Political markets are full
of mispriced bets.

PredictIt traders bet on who they want to win — not who will. FadeMe finds where partisan bias and recency panic have created real edge, and sends the best plays to your inbox free.

No credit card. No spam. Unsubscribe any time.

Works with any PredictIt screenshot Every loss logged publicly No credit card required

Why PredictIt

Political markets are uniquely beatable.

Unlike crypto or sports markets, PredictIt is full of retail traders who bet on vibes, partisan identity, and last night's cable news. That's opportunity.

Partisan bias creates mispricings

Republican-leaning traders overprice Republican outcomes. Democratic traders do the opposite. When sentiment diverges from polling, there's real edge — and FadeMe finds it.

Recency panic moves prices

A bad poll or a gaffe sends prices swinging within hours — often past what the math justifies. FadeMe spots when the market has overcorrected and signals the fade.

Political AI knows political base rates

Incumbency advantage. Historical polling accuracy. Structural state-level shifts. The AI factors in the long-run numbers that emotional traders ignore.

How It Works

Screenshot in. Edge out.

01

Screenshot your PredictIt position

Any market, any bracket. Open positions, contracts you're watching, outcomes you're considering — just take a screenshot and upload.

02

AI estimates the true probability

Claude Opus pulls live polling data, recent news, and historical base rates via Tavily, then gives you its independent probability — separate from what PredictIt is offering.

03

Get your grade and recommendation

S–F grade based on edge size. BUY if you have real upside, HOLD if it's roughly fair, FADE if the market has priced you out. All in under 30 seconds.

SAMPLE ANALYSIS
PredictIt · Politics
S

Will the Fed cut rates at least once before year end?

Economics · Dec expiry

BUY
PredictIt price52¢
AI true probability74%
Edge +22%
Grade S — Elite

Market underpricing structural Senate advantage due to recency panic after latest partisan polling. Historical base rates and structural state map strongly favor this position.

Free tier

More than most paid political newsletters.

Daily AI picks across Kalshi, Polymarket & PredictIt

S and A grade plays only — 10%+ edge, nothing lower

Bull case, bear case, and key risks for every pick

Public track record — every win and loss verified

BUY / FADE / HOLD with full AI reasoning

Weekly performance update with honest win-rate data

Edge score on every market — not vibes, math

AI coach for sizing, Kelly criterion, and strategy

Pricing

One good political call pays for months.

The free tier gets you the daily picks email — the AI's top calls with grades, reasoning, and our public track record. The paid plan ($1 first week, then $19.99/mo) unlocks the full bet analyzer, parlay grader, AI coach, and portfolio tracker.

FAQ

PredictIt questions, answered.

Get today's PredictIt picks — free.

Drop your email. We'll send you what the AI is calling today across PredictIt, Kalshi, and Polymarket — and follow up all week so you can see if it's worth your time.

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