Polymarket moves hundreds of millions on elections, crypto, and world events. FadeMe finds where the crowd has it wrong — and sends the best plays to your inbox free.
FadeMe fetches live prices directly from Polymarket's API the moment you paste a URL. Always the current probability — never stale data from a screenshot.
Why Polymarket
Polymarket is the most liquid prediction market in the world — but liquidity concentrates on headline events. Beneath the surface, mispricings are everywhere.
Polymarket's user base skews crypto-bullish and risk-tolerant. On crypto and tech markets, optimism inflates YES prices past their true probability. FadeMe detects and fades these sentiment overhangs.
Elections and major crypto markets get millions in volume. Geopolitical, sports, and niche markets get a fraction — meaning slower price discovery and more room for AI-quantified edge to persist.
Tail-risk events — surprise elections, unexpected rate decisions, geopolitical shocks — are routinely underpriced because the crowd anchors to the base case. FadeMe weights outlier scenarios properly.
How It Works
URL mode fetches the current probability live from Polymarket's API. Screenshot mode reads the market, probability, and expiry from the image. Both take under 5 seconds.
Claude Opus cross-references live news, on-chain data, polling, and historical base rates via Tavily to give you an independent probability — separate from what the Polymarket crowd is pricing.
S–F grade based on your edge. BUY, HOLD, or FADE with Kelly criterion sizing. Full bull case, bear case, and key risks — so you know exactly what you're betting on and why.
Will Bitcoin close above $100k by end of Q1?
Crypto · Mar 31 expiry
Macro tailwinds and institutional inflows underpriced by crowd anchoring to prior resistance. On-chain accumulation data and options market structure support upside. Strong edge with 10-week runway.
Free tier
Daily AI picks — Polymarket, Kalshi & PredictIt
S and A grade plays only — 10%+ edge minimum
Bull case, bear case, and key risks for every pick
Public track record verified by Polymarket's own settlement API
BUY / FADE / HOLD with full AI reasoning
Kelly criterion sizing on every pick
Edge score on every market — not sentiment, math
AI coach for sizing, strategy, and market mechanics
Pricing
The free tier gets you the daily picks email. The paid plan ($1 first week, then $19.99/mo) unlocks the full bet analyzer with URL paste, parlay builder, AI coach, and portfolio tracker with auto-resolution.
FAQ
Drop your email. We'll send you what the AI is calling today on Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt — and follow up all week so you can see if it's worth your time.