Kalshi is the only CFTC-regulated prediction exchange in the US. FadeMe scans every open contract daily, finds the mispricings institutional traders miss, and sends the best plays to your inbox free.
FadeMe fetches live prices directly from Kalshi's API the moment you paste a URL. No screenshot needed. Always current price, not stale data.
Why Kalshi
CFTC oversight brought institutions to Kalshi — but retail traders still move prices on sentiment, not math. That gap is where edge lives.
CPI prints, Fed decisions, GDP revisions — crowd sentiment lags the actual probability distribution. Economists move first; retail follows hours later. FadeMe finds the window.
Kalshi covers weather, tech, and entertainment markets that see little institutional participation. Thin books mean slow price discovery — and persistent mispricings that AI can quantify.
As a big event approaches, recency bias inflates the probability of whatever just happened. FadeMe's base-rate model anchors to the long-run numbers, not last week's headline.
How It Works
URL mode fetches the live price from Kalshi's API directly. Screenshot mode reads the contract, price, and expiry from the image. Both take under 5 seconds.
Claude Opus cross-references live economic data, polling, news, and historical base rates via Tavily to give you an independent probability — separate from what Kalshi is pricing.
S–F grade based on your edge. BUY, HOLD, or FADE recommendation with Kelly criterion sizing. Full bull case, bear case, and key risks laid out in plain language.
Will CPI come in below 3.0% for December?
Economics · Jan 15 expiry
Core PCE trend and shelter component disinflation support sub-3% print. Crowd overweighting energy price volatility. Strong edge with 3-week runway.
Free tier
Daily AI picks — Kalshi, Polymarket & PredictIt
S and A grade plays only — 10%+ edge minimum
Bull case, bear case, and key risks for every pick
Public track record verified by Kalshi's own settlement API
BUY / FADE / HOLD with full AI reasoning
Kelly criterion sizing on every pick
Edge score on every contract — not gut feel, math
AI coach for sizing, strategy, and market mechanics
Pricing
The free tier gets you the daily picks email. The paid plan ($1 first week, then $19.99/mo) unlocks the full bet analyzer with URL paste, parlay grader, AI coach, and portfolio tracker with auto-resolution.
FAQ
Drop your email. We'll send you what the AI is calling today on Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt — and follow up all week so you can see if it's worth your time.